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A Race to the Bottom The same argument is now being deployed by industry in an attempt to strip away or weaken the standards that some ECAs have introduced. In the US, for example, both the US Ex-Im Bank, the country's official Export Credit Agency, and OPIC, the publicly-backed US investment finance and insurance agency, adopted mandatory standards in 1992 and 1997 respectively.50 OPIC standards now categorically forbid any investment in "projects that require large-scale involuntary resettlement" (defined in terms of the movement of more than 5,000 people) and a ban on support for "large dams projects that disrupt natural ecosystems or the livelihoods of local inhabitants".51 In 1998, however, Republican Senator Frank Murkowski attempted to introduce legislation that would have prohibited Ex-Im from withholding finance for projects supported by any other G7 country. Murkowski argued that US exporters were losing contracts overseas because other ECAs do not impose similar standards to those of Ex-Im and OPIC. Without new legislation, Murkowski maintained, US companies would be "left in the dust while the environment suffers anyway."52 Although Murkowski's proposed legislation failed to make it to a vote during the last US Congress - and has not be "re-offered" to the newly-elected Congress - industry strongly supported his proposals, arguing that Ex-Im's standards are incompatible with its primary objective: protecting US jobs. Environmental and development groups, however, charge that it is not US jobs that are protected but US corporations and their shareholders. They point out, for example, that most of the companies that have received large amounts of Ex-Im support have ruthlessly shed jobs through downsizing or shifting production abroad in order to exploit cheaper labour costs. Thus Ex-Im's five biggest corporate beneficiaries this decade - AT&T, Bechtel, Boeing, General Electric and McDonnell Douglas (which has been purchased by Boeing) - have collectively cut more than 300,000 jobs in the last 10 years. Indeed, a study by the US General Accounting Office concludes: "Government export-finance-assistance programs may largely
shift production among sectors within the economy rather than raise
the overall level of employment in the economy."53 "Most economists doubt . . . that a nation can improve its
welfare over the long run by subsidizing exports. Internal economic
policies ultimately determine the overall levels of a nation's exports."54
Upwards, Not Downwards "over 70 per cent of OPIC's direct project finance was in
the electric power generation and oil and gas development sectors,
with a commitment of $539 million in loans out of a total of $707
million; 41 per cent of OPIC's entire assistance portfolio (both
insurance and project finance) was committed to projects in the
power generation and oil and gas sectors."57 IPS argues that such lending will increase climate change and therefore "runs counter to the US Congress' stated goal of garnering greater participation by developing countries in slowing the rapid pace of fossil fuel combustion and the increasing reliance on fossil fuels as an energy source in developing countries." In many countries, less carbon-intensive energy options are available, from natural gas to solar, but these are not being backed by the two agencies.59 In the case of the corruption-ridden Paiton Power Project in Indonesia, backed by Ex-Im and promoted by such Washington insiders as Henry Kissinger and Warren Christopher, such alternatives were recommended by the Indonesian government's own power consultants. Paiton, however, still went ahead.60 Because the US will also be affected by the climatic instability caused by the continuing use of fossil fuels, OPIC's and EX-IM's support of fossil fuel projects suggests what IPS terms a "less than full implementation" of the US National Environmental Protection Act, which applies to US government-backed projects outside the United States that lead to significant and adverse environmental impacts in the United States. Such legislation would require OPIC and Ex-Im to take into account the global environmental impacts of each fossil fuel project it funds, rather than just the specific local impacts. Yet the wording of their environmental guidelines allow them to skirt the requirements of the Act. Indeed, the IPS report reveals a range of areas where OPIC and Ex-Im guidelines fail to protect the environment and people or to ensure transparency and accountability. In the case of OPIC, for example, there is no requirement to calculate power plant emissions until after a project has been approved; no requirement to assess the cumulative emissions that are likely from power plants or their relative global impacts; and no requirement to carry out environmental assessments on power plants which are under 200MW in capacity. Moreover, says IPS, "OPIC's current and proposed disclosure policies for environmentally sensitive projects are grossly inadequate for a publicly-backed organization." Many upcoming projects listed by OPIC - a "Philippines residual fuel-fired power plant" being one example - give the public no substantive information about their likely impacts. A New Debt Crisis? "This is a clear case of moral hazard: exporters are incentivised
to maximise their exports, in the knowledge that they will, at public
expense, be bailed out of deals that go bad. This also distorts
pricing: the financing terms of deals do not reflect the real level
of risks, with the illusion of cheap financing encouraging unnecessary
borrowing."62 Where companies make claims for losses covered by ECAs, the liability passes to the ECA, which, in turn, passes the losses on to the importing country. The claims thus end up being added to the stock of bilateral debt owed to the ECA's national government, the peoples of the South ultimately picking up the bill. In effect, Northern governments are using Third World money to subsidise their exports, the chief beneficiaries being the shareholders of some of the richest companies in the world. Export credit- related debts now constitute a major drain on the foreign exchange earnings of developing countries. Many have been unable to fulfil their repayment obligations and have been forced to the Paris Club, the international forum in which creditor countries meet with debtor countries to reschedule debt repayments. Although severely indebted poorer countries qualify for debt reduction of 67% under the so-called "Naples terms", such reductions are only approved if the debtor country has a "satisfactory" three-year track record of implementing IMF structural adjustment programmes and has cleared its arrears with the Paris Club. Critically, however: "The reduction is only applied to eligible debt, that is,
all debt incurred before the country's first visit to the Paris
Club. Debts contracted after this so-called cut-off date are excluded.
For instance, in 1995, Uganda (cut-off date 1982) received a 67
per cent reduction of its eligible bilateral debt stock. This represented
only a 2 per cent reduction of its total debt."63 Some financial commentators now warn that, just as the debt crises of the 1970s were caused by reckless lending by Northern banks to the South in the search for quick and spectacular profits, so the failure of many private sector-financed (but publicly insured) infrastructure projects in the 1990s could be transformed into a serious sovereign debt problem for many Southern countries. In order to attract private investors, many governments in South- East Asia and Latin America, for example, have committed themselves to billions of dollars worth of contractual obligations (not least incurred through ECA-underwritten investment guarantees) to protect investors and lenders against foreign exchange risks. In many South- East Asian countries, these contractual obligations have now been triggered as a result of the recent economic collapse: unless they can be restructured, they are now due in one lump sum. As the Financial Times warned in the immediate wake of the South-East Asian economic crisis: "Combine this structure with significant current account deficits and the scene becomes reminiscent of the sovereign debt environment of the late 1970s and early 1980s."64 Worldwide, export credit-generated debt now accounts for 56% of the debts owed by the Third World to official creditors and 24% of their total debts, including debts owed to private banks.65 As Eurodad notes: "A few countries, such as Gabon, Algeria and Nigeria owe more than 50 per cent of their total debt to export credit agencies."66 Moreover, because export credit-related loans are usually made at less concessional rates than other official loans, "they figure disproportionately in a country's debt service profile". In the case of the UK, 95% of the debt owed by the South to the UK Government is in the form of export credit debt. Indonesia, for example, owes £800 million to the ECGD; Algeria, £63 million; China, £2,352 million; and Iraq, £652 million (including debts incurred for weapons supplied prior to the Gulf War). All told, at the end of 1997, the outstanding debts on loans guaranteed by the UK Government through the ECGD to the world's 41 Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs) stood at £4,685 million.67 Figures supplied to the House of Commons library by the ECGD in 1998 showed that the UK is due to receive £923 million in repayment of export credit debt between the years 1998 and 2031 from the 26 HIPCs which have agreed payment schedules.68 If interest on the debt is taken into account, the total figure would amount to £1,383 million. Many of the export credit debts owed to the UK ECGD were incurred through loss- making arms deals;69 others through poorly conceived projects; and still others in the pursuit of foreign policy objectives with little regard paid to the financial viability of the projects supported. The ECGD, for example, operates a special account known as "Account 3" from which guarantees are issued to countries that are considered uncreditworthy and which therefore fall outside the ECGD's normal approval criteria. A senior ECGD official acknowledges that Account 3 projects are "political" loans. One example cited was "Russia, where we provided support politically. [The Government told us] `let's help Yeltsin . . . that was started by the Government for political reasons." It's the Poor Who Pay the Price Neither is that debt burden purely financial: the support of ECAs for dictatorial regimes has also subjected the citizens of many countries to internal repression. Moreover, the use of ECA credits to establish new markets for Northern companies has been a major force in promoting a development model that favours the North over the South, fuels inequality, exacerbates environmental degradation, marginalises poorer groups and fuels poverty. As Titi Soentoro of Bioforum, an Indonesian NGO, notes of Indonesia: "ECAs played a key role in supporting the Suharto regime's
system of economic and political monopolies. The regime's military
security approach assured low costs for land appropriation and a
relatively docile and inexpensive labour force. Foreign investors,
often supported by ECA finance, competed to align themselves with
the powerful business interests close to the Suharto family for
example by offering free shares to Suharto's children and other
relatives and business associates. In return, investors were assured
access to lucrative sectors of the Indonesian economy and were able
to receive `assistance' from Indonesia's armed forces when it came
to clearing people off their land for their projects, stifling labour
unrest, or preventing mobs from storming their polluting factories."70
"have a considerably smaller effect on the Exchequer than
is perhaps implied by the headline figures on the level of third
world indebtedness". |
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